Thursday, August 9, 2012

Colorado is a tossup
“ … the race is now close. And yet, both sides also say that Obama has the upper hand in Colorado heading into the fall. (The president leads in the RCP Average by 1.2 percentage points.)”

Romney is in trouble with independent voters
“Among independent voters, the poll indicates President Obama has a 53%-42% lead,” CNN  Polling Director Keating Holland said. “The president holds a nine point advantage among women voters and a smaller six point edge among men.” … “In May, only 40% of independents had an unfavorable view of Romney. Now, 52% of independents have a negative view of him."
“ … independents aren’t monolithic. And Romney has given independent voters who are disappointed in Obama little reason to vote for him. He seems to be making little effort to appeal to that chunk of independents, partially because he can’t because he has to keep shoring up his party’s conservative base.
But to many independent voters, Romney is coming across less as someone running for President who has specific solutions and can make an affirmative case for himself than for President of the Tea Party or the Rush Limbaugh Fan Club.  Traditionally candidates move to the center; Romney is staying where he was during the primaries and with the recent big Tea Party win in Texas, he’s unlikely to move significantly to the center (especially when the term ‘moderate’ is an authentically filthy word to some in the GOP).”
Fox News poll confirms Obama advantage among independents
Independents are twice as likely to say they are comfortable with Obama (33 percent) than with Romney (16 percent) as president.

The top reasons voters give for being uncomfortable with Romney include his positions on the issues, that he’s “phony,” he’s “out of touch,” he’s a Republican and he’s “for the rich.” For Obama, the discomfort comes from his performance as president, unemployment/no economic recovery, his positions on the issues, “everything,” and his health care plan.”


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