Electoral
College opinion map weekly update
The average of 30 online Electoral College opinion maps
(with tossups) is currently:
Obama             239               
Romney           198               
Tossups           100               
Last week, the averages were Obama 240, Romney 194 and
Tossups 104.
There are 13 online Electoral College opinion maps that assign
all electoral votes to either Obama or Romney, disregarding the margin of error
in the polls.  The current average
(without tossups) is:
Obama           287                 
Romney         251                 
Tossups           0
Last week, the averages were Obama 297, Romney 240 and
Tossups 0.
The average of three online Electoral College odds makers (Intrade, Iowa Electronic Markets and Betfair) currently show Obama with a 64% probability of winning and Romney with a 36% probability of winning, unchanged from last week.


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