Michigan still leans Obama

“Our forecast model tends to side with the polls showing Mr. Obama in a reasonably good position in Michigan. It’s extremely doubtful that he’s ahead by double-digits there — and almost certainly not by 14 points — but the forecast projects a six- or seven-point victory for Mr. Obama in Michigan on Nov. 6.”

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/28/aug-27-michigan-isnt-a-tossup/