Will Obama's new swing state ad turn on or turn off independent voters?

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/14/obama-ad-firms-slams-romn_n_1673112.html


50% of Obama's $100 million ad spending targets Ohio, Florida and Virginia

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/13/obama-campaign-ad-spending_n_1672361.html?utm_hp_ref=politics


Virginia is a path to 270 for both Romney and Obama.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/after-years-in-the-cold-virginia-finds-its-place-in-the-presidential-sweepstakes/2012/07/14/gJQAkKmajW_story.html

The importance of Virginia to Obama

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/07/13/12722104-first-thoughts-the-importance-of-virginia?lite&google_editors_picks=true


Obama micro targeting voters in Virginia

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-07-13/obama-micro-targeting-swing-voters-in-virginia-campaign-foray.html

Election model predicts close finish

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-07-12/election-model-predicts-bush-gore-style-ending-for-2012.html

Pew Research Poll:  Independents View Both Parties Unfavorably

For the first time in the past four election cycles, majorities of independent voters view both parties unfavorably: 57% of independents have an unfavorable opinion of the Democratic Party, while 62% view the GOP unfavorably.

http://www.people-press.org/2012/07/12/obama-holds-lead-romney-trails-on-most-issues/

Will Rick Scott’s Medicaid position deliver Florida to Obama or Romney?

http://swampland.time.com/2012/07/11/rick-scott-is-turning-down-obamas-medicaid-expansion-is-he-turning-off-florida-voters-too/?xid=gonewsedit&google_editors_picks=true

Why Iowa is so important to Obama, and why Colorado is so important to Romney.

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/07/10/12660842-first-thoughts-the-importance-of-colorado-and-iowa

Obama’s problem with independent voters

http://themoderatevoice.com/149949/obama-could-lose-independent-voters-this-time/

Swing voter opinions on Obama and the last four years

http://www.salon.com/2012/06/21/blame_vs_context/singleton/

Bloomberg National Poll:  Swing voters equally split between Obama and Romney

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-22/obama-s-race-for-swing-voters-with-romney-tight-in-poll.html

Can a Presidential challenger win over independent voters with a defensive strategy?

http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/Decoder-Wire/2012/0711/Mitt-Romney-s-boomerang-attack-strategy-Is-it-effective

Round 1 in the swing state ad wars

http://nationaljournal.com/2012-presidential-campaign/2012-campaign-ad-spending-poised-to-smash-2008-record-20120629 

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-07-08/swing-states-poll/56097052/1

http://nbcpolitics.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/07/10/12662958-gop-frets-about-swing-state-toll-on-romney-from-bain-attacks?lite


Planned Parenthood running anti-Romney ads in swing states

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/09/planned-parenthoods-romney-ads_n_1659047.html

Electoral College Opinion Map Weekly Update

Averages

Obama                             236  +4

Romney                           196   +2

Tossups                            106   -6


Highest Obama is 254 by Electoral-vote.com.   Lowest Obama is 196 by USA Today.  

Highest Romney is 206 by Washington Post, NY Times, CNN, Associated Press, Cook,
Rothenberg and Sabato.  Lowest Romney is 172 by 270towin.com.    

Highest Tossup is 151 by USA Today.  Lowest Tossup is 85 by CNN, Cook and Sabato. 



                                                   

Five swing states enjoying relatively good job growth

New Hampshire, Michigan, Nevada, Florida and Ohio are among the states that have a significantly lower unemployment rate, comparing May 2012 to May 2011.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/06/swing-state-unemployment_n_1653972.html?utm_hp_ref=business

Cell Phones and Presidential Poll Results

http://www.huliq.com/12092/cell-phone-users-under-polled-could-spell-problems-romney